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PRMIA PRM Certification - Exam III: Risk Management Frameworks, Operational Risk, Credit Risk, Counterparty Risk, Market Risk, ALM, FTP - 2015 Edition Sample Questions:

1. When doing stress tests based on historical scenarios, if no appropriate historical scenarios exist for a security, it is most INAPPROPRIATE to:

A) Leave the position unshocked
B) Estimate a shock factor based upon interpolation
C) Estimate a shock factor based on other instruments that might be considered as proxies for such a security
D) Estimate a shock factor based upon extrapolation

2. Under the credit migration approach to assessing portfolio credit risk, which of the following are needed to generate a distribution of future portfolio values?

A) A specified risk horizon
B) All of the above
C) The forward yield curve
D) A rating migration matrix

3. When fitting a distribution in excess of a threshold as part of the body-tail distribution method described by the equation below, how is the parameter 'p' calculated.

Here, F(x) is the severity distribution. F(Tail) and F(Body) are the parametric distributions selected for the tail and the body, and T is the threshold in excess of which the tail is considered to begin.

A) If there are N observations, of which K are up to T, then p = k/N
B) p is a function of the reporting threshold and determined by the log-likelihood functional
C) If there are K observations up to the tail threshold, then p = k*n
D) p is a parameter estimated using either the sum of least squares or maximum likelihood estimation

4. If P be the transition matrix for 1 year, how can we find the transition matrix for 4 months?

A) By calculating the cube root of P
B) By numerically calculating a matrix M such that M x M x M is equal to P
C) By dividing P by 3
D) By calculating the matrix P x P x P

5. Which of the following statements is NOT true in relation to the recent financial crisis of 2007-08?

A) An intention to diversify from their core activities led all market participants to the same activities, which though appearing diversified at the bank's level, created a concentration risk at the systemic level
B) The existence of central counterparties could have limited the damage caused by the financial crisis
C) Central banks had data on the interconnections between institutions, but poor understanding and analysis meant this data was never analyzed
D) Counterparty risk was difficult to gauge as it was impossible to know who the counterparty's counterparties were

Solutions: